PF
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
PFSI · PennyMac Financial Services Inc. · Financials
Up next day
2/12
17%
Fell despite growth
7/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±4.6%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.8%
avg over 8 beats
Biggest single move
-11.8%
'26.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 2 of 8 beats (25%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg -0.8% on a beat, -4.4% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 67% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
-2.0%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 20After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.73
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-29
Next-day move
-11.8%
After 5 days -11.8%
vs Consensus$2.15→$1.39-35.2% miss
EPS
$1.39
YoY -68%
Revenue
$0.0B
YoY +332%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -13.5%p6.3x normal — unusual drop
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.39YoY -68%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.0BYoY +332%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
7x58%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 7 of 12q (58%)
Community · PFSI
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