SI
Selective Insurance Group Inc.
SIGI · Selective Insurance Group Inc. · Financials
Up next day
2/12
17%
Fell despite growth
7/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±6.1%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.4%
avg over 2 beats
Biggest single move
-18.2%
'24.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Tends to run up in the week before earnings
Rose beforehand 9 of last 12 · avg +2.7% · expectations build early
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg -0.4% on a beat, -5.3% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
-4.5%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 2 of last 12 times (17%)
1xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 21After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.82
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-23
Next-day move
-1.5%
After 5 days -3.2%
vs Consensus$1.67→$1.95+16.9% beat
EPS
$1.95
YoY +49%
Revenue
$1.4B
YoY +5%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -1.6%p+27% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.95YoY +49%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$1.4BYoY +5%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
6x50%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · SIGI
What do you think of this stock's earnings pattern?
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