TC
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc.
TCBI · Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. · Financials
Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
6/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.6%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-1.8%
avg over 7 beats
Biggest single move
+4.8%
'24.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 2 of 7 beats (29%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -1.8% on a beat, +0.6% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 75% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
-0.8%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 7 of last 12 times (58%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 21After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.93
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-22
Next-day move
-4.1%
After 5 days -4.4%
vs Consensus$1.86→$1.88+1.3% beat
Beat by +1.3% but stock -4.1%
EPS
$1.88
YoY +15%
Revenue
—
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -2.9%p2.8x normal — unusual drop
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.88YoY +15%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue—
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
2x17%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
6x50%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · TCBI
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