RD
Radian Group Inc.
RDN · Radian Group Inc. · Financials
Up next day
9/12
75%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.5%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.8%
avg over 11 beats
Biggest single move
+3.9%
'25.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Good results usually push the stock up
Up the next day 8 of 11 beats (73%)
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
+0.9%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 4 of last 12 times (33%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 3After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.23
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-06
Next-day move
+1.8%
After 5 days +1.7%
vs Consensus$1.35→$1.14-15.7% miss
Missed by -15.7% but stock +1.8%
EPS
$1.14
YoY +13%
Revenue
$0.6B
YoY +81%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite miss
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.14YoY +13%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.6BYoY +81%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
3x25%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · RDN
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