TR

Trex Company Inc.

TREX · Trex Company Inc. · Materials

Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±6.8%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-1.7%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
-31.1%
'25.9 · largest reaction

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 10 beats (60%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg -1.7% on a beat, -12.8% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 83% of last 12
vs Materials sector avg (34 peers)
This
-3.5%
Sector
0.0%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures

Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter

Nov 4Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.48
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
+5.4%
After 5 days +5.8%
vs Consensus$0.63$0.62-2.1% miss
Missed by -2.1% but stock +5.4%
EPS
$0.62
YoY -15%
Revenue
$0.4B
YoY +8%
Next-Q guidance
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +5.6%p+28% run-up before

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$0.62YoY -15%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.4BYoY +8%
'23.9'26.6

Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters

UpDown
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
6x50%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
2x17%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← Weak earningsStrong earnings →

Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 6 of 12q (50%)

Community · TREX

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