CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc.
CF · CF Industries Holdings Inc. · Materials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±3.2%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.7%
avg over 8 beats
Biggest single move
+8.5%
'24.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 5 of 8 beats (63%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +0.7% on a beat, -3.5% on a miss
vs Materials sector avg (34 peers)
This
-0.7%
Sector
-0.1%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 4 of last 12 times (33%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 4After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $3.01
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-05
Next-day move
+0.0%
After 5 days +2.8%
vs Consensus$5.57→$4.73-15.1% miss
EPS
$4.73
YoY +100%
Revenue
$2.2B
YoY +18%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$4.73YoY +100%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$2.2BYoY +18%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
2x17%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
4x33%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · CF
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