MP
MP Materials Corp.
MP · MP Materials Corp. · Materials
Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±5.5%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.2%
avg over 9 beats
Biggest single move
+12.8%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 3 of 9 beats (33%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.2% on a beat, -2.6% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Materials sector avg (34 peers)
This
-0.5%
Sector
-0.1%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 7 of last 12 times (58%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 5After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.01
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-06
Next-day move
+7.6%
After 5 days +17.2%
Missed by -173.2% but stock +7.6%
EPS
$-0.01
YoY +92%
Revenue
$0.1B
YoY +89%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market +7.0%p-35% dip before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$-0.01YoY +92%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.1BYoY +89%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
3x25%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
6x50%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Weak earnings, price down — reacts honestly to earnings · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · MP
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