MO
Mosaic Company (The)
MOS · Mosaic Company (The) · Materials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±4.1%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.5%
avg over 2 beats
Biggest single move
-13.3%
'25.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Tends to slide in the week before earnings
Fell beforehand 10 of last 12 · avg -3.1%
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.5% on a beat, -1.4% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 67% of last 12
vs Materials sector avg (34 peers)
This
-1.1%
Sector
-0.1%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
1xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
5xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 3After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.06
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
+3.1%
After 5 days +1.7%
vs Consensus$0.14→$0.13-5.9% miss
Missed by -5.9% but stock +3.1%
EPS
$0.13
YoY -75%
Revenue
$2.8B
YoY -6%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +3.3%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.13YoY -75%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$2.8BYoY -6%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
6x50%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
0x
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
5x42%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
1x8%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · MOS
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