KN
Kinsale Capital Group Inc.
KNSL · Kinsale Capital Group Inc. · Financials
Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
7/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±9.9%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-3.6%
avg over 12 beats
Biggest single move
-19.6%
'23.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 4 of 12 beats (33%)
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
-3.6%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 8 of last 12 times (67%)
8xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 22After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $4.94
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-23
Next-day move
+5.1%
After 5 days +7.1%
vs Consensus$5.11→$5.54+8.3% beat
EPS
$5.54
YoY +16%
Revenue
$0.5B
YoY +17%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market +5.0%p2.1x normal — unusual surge
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$5.54YoY +16%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.5BYoY +17%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
0x
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
0x
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
8x67%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 8 of 12q (67%)
Community · KNSL
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