AS
ASML Holding
ASML · ASML Holding · Semiconductors
Up next day
9/16
56%
Fell despite growth
4/16
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.3%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.1%
avg over 15 beats
Biggest single move
-6.4%
'24.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Tends to run up in the week before earnings
Rose beforehand 11 of last 16 · avg +3.2% · expectations build early
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 9 of 15 beats (60%)
vs Semiconductors sector avg (9 peers)
This
-0.3%
Sector
-0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 16 times (38%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 14Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $10.58
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-13
Next-day move
+2.9%
After 5 days +0.8%
vs Consensus$6.95→$7.58+9.1% beat
EPS
$7.58
YoY +29%
Revenue
—
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market +2.5%p+17% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$7.58YoY +29%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue—
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 16 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
0x
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
2x17%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
4x33%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · ASML
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