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Intel Corporation (INTC) earnings date & stock reaction

Intel Corporation · IT

Intel Corporation earnings date & time

Next earningsThu, October 29 around 4:00 PM ET, after the closescheduled

Schedule

Korea time (KST)
Fri, October 30
Reporting pattern
12 of last 12 after close
Typical move
±10.9% · 12-report avg

What the market expects

Consensus EPS

$0.39Coming in above this counts as a beat

Year-ago quarter
$0.23→+69.6%
Full earnings calendarFrom an earnings calendar · Schedule last checked October 14
Latest reportApr–Jun 2026 results· July 23, 2026 reported
EPS consensus $0.22 → $0.42 ▲ +90.9% beatRev $12.9B → $16.1B +25% YoY
Post-earnings price move
Next-day move
-7.9%
After 5 days
-9.1%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Sector peer Texas Instruments Incorporated (7/22): beat, yet stock -3.1%A same-industry peer, Texas Instruments Incorporated, reported within the 10 days before this one (1d earlier). How the market took it (next-day move -3.1%) is the best read on the sector mood. A beat that still fell means the bar was high, so this stock may face similar pressure.
Earnings call25% revenue growth driven by AI demand and aggressive expansion of capital investment
“Collectively, our AI-driven businesses grew greater than 70% year-over-year, including record data center growth, and contributed approximately 70% of revenue.”
· Dave Zinsner, CFO
“Due to strong customer demand signals, we're raising our outlook for 2026 and now expect our CapEx to be more than $20 billion.”
· Dave Zinsner, CFO
Positives
  • ▲Explosive growth in Data Center and AI
    • Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue hit $6.3 billion, up 59% vs last year.
    • AI-driven businesses grew over 70% vs last year, accounting for approximately 70% of total revenue.
  • ▲Improved profitability and beat on guidance
    • Non-GAAP operating margin improved to 17.2% from -3.9% vs last year, a 21.1 percentage point increase.
    • Q2 revenue of $16.1 billion exceeded the midpoint of the company's guidance by $1.8 billion.
  • ▲Successful foundry process execution
    • 18A output exceeded targets by approximately 25% and grew over 50% vs last quarter.
    • Manufacturing costs for the primary 18A SKU, Panther Lake, have been reduced by approximately 50% year-to-date.
Concerns
  • ▼PC market slowdown and inventory charges
    • PC consumption is expected to be down low double-digits for the full year 2026 due to rising memory prices and constraints.
    • CCPG operating profit decreased by $173 million vs last quarter due to inventory charges taken to optimize the factory network.
  • ▼Persistent supply constraints and cash flow pressure
    • Despite strong demand, supply constraints for wafers, memory, and substrates remain a dominant challenge.
    • Aggressive capital spending is expected to push 2027 CapEx significantly above 2026 levels, increasing pressure on cash flow.
Based on the Jul 23, 2026 earnings-call transcript. Quotes are verbatim.

Intel Corporation (INTC) rose the day after earnings in 4 of its last 12 reports (33%), moving ±10.9% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 5 times.

Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
-2.0%
avg over 8 beats
Price when missing
-8.9%
avg over 3 misses
Avg earnings move
±10.9%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
-26.1%
'24.8 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?
What really matters here
Whether foundry losses shrink + product roadmap
In finance terms: Foundry P&L · roadmap
Growth · revenue (YoY by quarter, latest right)
+0%
25-04(Mar qtr)
+0%
25-07(Jun qtr)
+3%
25-10(Sep qtr)
-4%
26-01(Dec qtr)
+7%
26-04(Mar qtr)
+25%
26-07(Jun qtr)
Accelerating · Growth is accelerating from +0% to +25%. A good direction.
What to watch next report

When results drop, skip the EPS number. Check if the growth above holds or accelerates, and whether guidance beats expectations.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 3 of 8 beats (38%)
Moves in line with results, fairly predictable
Avg -2.0% on a beat, -8.9% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 92% of last 12
vs IT sector avg (192 peers)
This
-4.1%
Sector
+1.0%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 11 times (55%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth1/12

5/8 beats fell next day · watches Foundry P&L · roadmap

Next-day reaction
  • Jun 2026 report-7.9%
  • Mar 2026 report+23.6%
  • Dec 2025 report-17.0%
  • Sep 2025 report+0.3%
  • Jun 2025 report-8.5%
  • Mar 2025 report-6.7%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Apr–Jun 2026 results
Reported 2026-07-23
Next-day move
-7.9%
After 5 days -9.1%
EPS consensus $0.22 → $0.42 ▲ +90.9% beatRev $12.9B → $16.1B +25% YoY
Beat by +90.9% but stock -7.9%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Sector peer Texas Instruments Incorporated (7/22): beat, yet stock -3.1%A same-industry peer, Texas Instruments Incorporated, reported within the 10 days before this one (1d earlier). How the market took it (next-day move -3.1%) is the best read on the sector mood. A beat that still fell means the bar was high, so this stock may face similar pressure.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$0.42YoY -222%
'23.10'26.7
Revenue$16.1BYoY +25%
'23.10'26.7

Earnings history and price reaction

Intel Corporation across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
6/20262026-07-23+90.9%-7.9%-9.1%
3/20262026-04-23—+23.6%+41.5%
12/20252026-01-22—-17.0%-10.4%
9/20252025-10-23—+0.3%+5.2%
6/20252025-07-24—-8.5%-12.5%
3/20252025-04-24—-6.7%-7.0%

12 reports, quarters ending 9/2023 to 6/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Intel Corporation earnings date?

The next Intel Corporation (INTC) earnings report is expected Thu, October 29 around 4:00 PM ET, after the close. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

What is the consensus EPS forecast for Intel Corporation's next earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of about $0.39 for Intel Corporation (INTC). Coming in above that counts as a beat, below it a miss — though a beat does not guarantee the stock rises.

Does Intel Corporation (INTC) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 4 of them (33%). The average move on earnings day was ±10.9%.

Does Intel Corporation react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 6 of the last 11 reports (55%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Intel Corporation stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 1 of the last 12 reports, Intel Corporation fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Intel Corporation stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 12 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 92% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.