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Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) (STX) earnings date & stock reaction

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) · IT

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) earnings date & time

Next earningsTue, October 27 around 4:00 PM ET, after the closescheduled

Schedule

Korea time (KST)
Wed, October 28
Reporting pattern
12 of last 12 after close
Typical move
±7.9% · 12-report avg

What the market expects

Consensus EPS

$7.35Coming in above this counts as a beat

Year-ago quarter
$2.61→+181.6%
Guided revenue
$3.6B→$4.1B+13.0%
Guided EPS
$5.71→$7.30+27.8%
Full earnings calendarFrom an earnings calendar · Schedule last checked October 14
Latest reportMay–Jul 2026 results· July 28, 2026 reported
EPS consensus $5.09 → $5.71 ▲ +12.1% beatRev $2.4B → $3.6B +48% YoY
Post-earnings price move
Next-day move
+2.3%
After 5 days
+13.1%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped an FOMC holdThis report landed on a US Federal Reserve rate-decision day. Rate decisions move the whole market, so the move may reflect the decision, not just earnings. A cut is not always good or a hike always bad. Crisis cuts fell, and hikes in a strong economy often rose.Down 18% into earningsIn the 3 trading days before this report, the stock moved more than usual. A pre-earnings run-up can mean expectations were already priced in, a drop can mean bad news was priced in early. Read the post-earnings reaction with that in mind.
Earnings callSurging data center demand and profitability improvement driven by HAMR technology
“We delivered fiscal year revenue growth of 34%, led by cloud customers' demand for data storage solutions, amplified by the adoption of AI-enhanced applications.”
· Dave Mosley (CEO)
“We expect September quarter revenue to be in a range of $4.1 billion ± $100 million, which represents a 56% year-over-year improvement at the midpoint.”
· Gianluca Romano (CFO)
Positives
  • ▲Data center-led revenue growth
    • Data center revenue was $2.9 billion this quarter, up 57% vs last year.
    • Data center accounted for 89% of total exabyte shipments, driving overall growth.
  • ▲Significant improvement in profitability
    • Non-GAAP gross margin was 52.7%, improving 570bps from 47% in the previous quarter.
    • Non-GAAP EPS was $5.71, a 121% increase vs last year.
  • ▲Strong cash flow and balance sheet
    • Generated $1.1 billion in free cash flow this quarter, the highest in over a decade.
    • Retired $302 million in debt this quarter and $1.4 billion for the full fiscal year.
Concerns
  • ▼Conservative exabyte growth target
    • The company maintains a mid-20% growth target for exabytes, which is conservative compared to the recent explosive growth.
  • ▼Operational burden from manufacturing transition
    • Transitioning to HAMR technology requires pausing factory operations, which may impact production cycles.
Based on the Jul 28, 2026 earnings-call transcript. Quotes are verbatim.

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) (STX) rose the day after earnings in 11 of its last 12 reports (92%), moving ±7.9% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 1 times.

Up next day
11/12
92%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
+6.6%
avg over 12 beats
Price when missing
—
never missed
Avg earnings move
±7.9%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
+19.1%
'26.1 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?
What really matters here
High-capacity HDD demand and pricing
In finance terms: Nearline HDD · price
Growth · revenue (YoY by quarter, latest right)
+31%
25-04(Mar qtr)
+30%
25-07(Jun qtr)
+21%
25-10(Oct qtr)
+22%
26-01(Jan qtr)
+44%
26-04(Apr qtr)
+48%
26-07(Jul qtr)
Accelerating · Growth is accelerating from +31% to +48%. A good direction.
What to watch next report

When results drop, skip the EPS number. Check if the growth above holds or accelerates, and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 11 of 11 times. Beating is the default here
Median beat +9.6%. 1 of those beats still fell the next day.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Tends to run up in the week before earnings
Rose beforehand 10 of last 12 · avg +4.8% · expectations build early
Good results usually push the stock up
Up the next day 11 of 12 beats (92%)
vs IT sector avg (192 peers)
This
+6.6%
Sector
+0.9%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 1 of last 12 times (8%)
1xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth1/12

1/12 beats fell next day · watches Nearline HDD · price

Next-day reaction
  • Jul 2026 report+2.3%
  • Apr 2026 report+11.1%
  • Jan 2026 report+19.1%
  • Oct 2025 report+19.1%
  • Jun 2025 report+6.5%
  • Mar 2025 report+11.6%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

May–Jul 2026 results
Reported 2026-07-28
Next-day move
+2.3%
After 5 days +13.1%
EPS consensus $5.09 → $5.71 ▲ +12.1% beatRev $2.4B → $3.6B +48% YoY
Next-Q guidance+13%· ~$4.1B est.
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped an FOMC holdThis report landed on a US Federal Reserve rate-decision day. Rate decisions move the whole market, so the move may reflect the decision, not just earnings. A cut is not always good or a hike always bad. Crisis cuts fell, and hikes in a strong economy often rose.Down 18% into earningsIn the 3 trading days before this report, the stock moved more than usual. A pre-earnings run-up can mean expectations were already priced in, a drop can mean bad news was priced in early. Read the post-earnings reaction with that in mind.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$5.71YoY +121%
'23.10'26.7
Revenue$3.6BYoY +48%
'23.10'26.7

Earnings history and price reaction

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
7/20262026-07-28+12.1%+2.3%+13.1%
4/20262026-04-28+16.8%+11.1%+33.2%
1/20262026-01-27+9.6%+19.1%+19.6%
10/20252025-10-28+8.8%+19.1%+12.3%
6/20252025-07-30+6.0%+6.5%-0.1%
3/20252025-04-29+9.2%+11.6%+15.1%

12 reports, quarters ending 9/2023 to 7/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) earnings date?

The next Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) (STX) earnings report is expected Tue, October 27 around 4:00 PM ET, after the close. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

What is the consensus EPS forecast for Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)'s next earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of about $7.35 for Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) (STX). Coming in above that counts as a beat, below it a miss — though a beat does not guarantee the stock rises.

Does Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) (STX) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 11 of them (92%). The average move on earnings day was ±7.9%.

Does Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 1 of the last 12 reports (8%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 1 of the last 12 reports, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 12 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 50% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.