CM
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
CMG · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±6.7%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.6%
avg over 12 beats
Biggest single move
-18.2%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 7 of 12 beats (58%)
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
-0.6%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 4After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.29
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-29
Next-day move
+12.5%
After 5 days +0.8%
vs Consensus$0.32→$0.33+4.0% beat
EPS
$0.33
YoY 0%
Revenue
$3.3B
YoY +9%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +10.8%p5.0x normal — unusual surge
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.33YoY 0%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$3.3BYoY +9%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
3x25%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
4x33%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · CMG
What do you think of this stock's earnings pattern?
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