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Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) earnings date & stock reaction

Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

Costco Wholesale Corporation earnings date & time

Next earningsThu, December 10 around 4:00 PM ET, after the closescheduled

Schedule

Korea time (KST)
Fri, December 11
Reporting pattern
12 of last 12 after close
Typical move
±2.9% · 12-report avg

What the market expects

Consensus EPS

$4.90Coming in above this counts as a beat

Year-ago quarter
$4.50→+8.9%
Full earnings calendarFrom an earnings calendar · Schedule last checked September 25
Latest reportJun–Aug 2026 results· September 24, 2026 reported
EPS consensus $6.53 → $6.75 ▲ +3.4% beatRev $86.2B → $95.7B +11% YoY
Post-earnings price move
Next-day move
+2.9%
After 5 days
+2.1%
Price around earnings
Earnings callSolid revenue growth and enhanced profitability driven by membership
“Net income for the fourth quarter came in at $2.998 billion, or $6.75 per diluted share. This year's results include a non-recurring benefit of $0.15 per diluted share from IEEPA tariff refunds.”
· Gary Millerchip, CFO
“Digitally enabled sales, which include third-party delivery, exceeded $33 billion and was an increase of more than 20%.”
· Ron Vachris, CEO
Positives
  • ▲Double-digit revenue growth and membership expansion
    • Q4 net sales reached $93.9 billion, an 11.2% increase compared to $84.4 billion in the same period last year.
    • Total paid members grew 3.8% to 84.1 million, with executive members increasing by 9.4% year-over-year.
  • ▲Strong growth in digital channels
    • Digitally enabled sales grew 19.5% this quarter, driving overall company performance.
    • Personalized initiatives on the Costco app and website led to triple-digit sales growth in those segments.
  • ▲Broad-based performance across segments
    • Pharmacy sales grew nearly 20% year-over-year, supported by expanded digital capabilities.
    • The travel business also saw double-digit growth driven by strong demand for vacation packages and cruises.
Concerns
  • ▼Margin pressure from increased LIFO charges
    • LIFO charges for the quarter were $152 million, significantly higher than the $43 million recorded in the same quarter last year.
    • This resulted in an 11 basis point negative impact on the quarterly gross margin rate.
  • ▼Net income boosted by non-recurring items
    • Q4 net income included a non-recurring benefit of $0.15 per diluted share from tariff refunds.
    • Excluding this benefit, the underlying improvement in net income is more moderate.
  • ▼Increased cash flow pressure from rising CAPEX
    • Capital expenditure for fiscal year 2027 is planned at approximately $7.5 billion, up from $6.4 billion in 2026.
    • Continued investment in new warehouses and supply chain infrastructure is increasing pressure on cash flow.
Based on the Sep 24, 2026 earnings-call transcript. Quotes are verbatim.

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) rose the day after earnings in 6 of its last 12 reports (50%), moving ±2.9% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 3 times.

Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
5/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
0.0%
avg over 10 beats
Price when missing
-5.0%
avg over 2 misses
Avg earnings move
±2.9%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
-7.6%
'24.3 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?
What really matters here
Whether existing-store, online sales, and membership grew
In finance terms: Comp sales · e-commerce · membership
Growth · revenue (YoY by quarter, latest right)
+8%
25-05(May qtr)
+8%
25-09(Aug qtr)
+8%
25-12(Nov qtr)
+9%
26-03(Feb qtr)
+12%
26-05(May qtr)
+11%
26-09(Aug qtr)
Holding steady · Growth is holding around +11%.
What to watch next report

When results drop, skip the EPS number. Check if the growth above holds or accelerates, and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 10 of 12 times
Median beat +2%. 3 of those beats still fell the next day.
Reports that rose beat by +3.4% (median). Reports that fell beat by just +1.4%
Roughly +3.4% was the bar this stock had to clear.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 10 beats (60%)
Moves in line with results, fairly predictable
Avg 0.0% on a beat, -5.0% on a miss
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (218 peers)
This
-0.8%
Sector
+0.7%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 3 of last 12 times (25%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth5/12

3/10 beats fell next day · watches Comp sales · e-commerce · membership

Next-day reaction
  • Aug 2026 report+2.9%
  • May 2026 report-3.9%
  • Feb 2026 report+1.6%
  • Nov 2025 report+0.0%
  • Aug 2025 report-2.9%
  • May 2025 report+3.1%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Jun–Aug 2026 results
Reported 2026-09-24
Next-day move
+2.9%
After 5 days +2.1%
EPS consensus $6.53 → $6.75 ▲ +3.4% beatRev $86.2B → $95.7B +11% YoY
Price around earnings

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$6.75YoY +15%
'23.12'26.9
Revenue$95.7BYoY +11%
'23.12'26.9

Earnings history and price reaction

Costco Wholesale Corporation across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
8/20262026-09-24+3.4%+2.9%+2.1%
5/20262026-05-28-0.8%-3.9%-2.3%
2/20262026-03-05+0.7%+1.6%+2.1%
11/20252025-12-11+5.5%0.0%-3.0%
8/20252025-09-25+1.1%-2.9%-2.8%
5/20252025-05-29+1.2%+3.1%+0.2%

12 reports, quarters ending 11/2023 to 8/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Costco Wholesale Corporation earnings date?

The next Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) earnings report is expected Thu, December 10 around 4:00 PM ET, after the close. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

What is the consensus EPS forecast for Costco Wholesale Corporation's next earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of about $4.90 for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST). Coming in above that counts as a beat, below it a miss — though a beat does not guarantee the stock rises.

Does Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 6 of them (50%). The average move on earnings day was ±2.9%.

Does Costco Wholesale Corporation react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 3 of the last 12 reports (25%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Costco Wholesale Corporation stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 5 of the last 12 reports, Costco Wholesale Corporation fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Costco Wholesale Corporation stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 11 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 45% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.