VA
Vale
VALE · Vale · Materials
Up next day
7/16
44%
Fell despite growth
2/16
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.4%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.2%
avg over 5 beats
Biggest single move
-6.3%
'26.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 3 of 5 beats (60%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.2% on a beat, -1.1% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 56% of last 16
vs Materials sector avg (34 peers)
This
-0.7%
Sector
-0.1%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 16 times (38%)
2xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
4xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 29After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.50
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-31
Next-day move
-3.2%
After 5 days -2.3%
vs Consensus$0.49→$0.36-26.2% miss
EPS
$0.36
YoY -28%
Revenue
—
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -4.6%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.36YoY -28%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue—
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 16 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · VALE
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