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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) earnings date & stock reaction

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. · Consumer Discretionary

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. earnings date & time

Next earningsTue, October 27 around 8:00 AM ET, before the openscheduled

Schedule

Korea time (KST)
Tue, October 27
Reporting pattern
12 of last 12 before open
Typical move
±5.5% · 12-report avg

What the market expects

Consensus EPS

$6.32Coming in above this counts as a beat

Year-ago quarter
$5.75→+9.9%
Full earnings calendarFrom an earnings calendar · Schedule last checked October 14

Price after the latest report

Reported July 28, 2026how the stock moved around it
Next-day move
+5.7%
After 5 days
+6.2%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped an FOMC holdThis report landed on a US Federal Reserve rate-decision day. Rate decisions move the whole market, so the move may reflect the decision, not just earnings. A cut is not always good or a hike always bad. Crisis cuts fell, and hikes in a strong economy often rose.Ran up +7% into earningsIn the 3 trading days before this report, the stock moved more than usual. A pre-earnings run-up can mean expectations were already priced in, a drop can mean bad news was priced in early. Read the post-earnings reaction with that in mind.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) rose the day after earnings in 8 of its last 12 reports (67%), moving ±5.5% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 4 times.

Up next day
8/12
67%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
+0.4%
avg over 11 beats
Price when missing
—
never missed
Avg earnings move
±5.5%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
+18.6%
'26.1 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?
What really matters here
Whether bookings beat the company's own outlook; occupancy
In finance terms: Bookings · RevPAR · occupancy
Growth · revenue (YoY by quarter, latest right)
+7%
25-04(Mar qtr)
+10%
25-07(Jun qtr)
+5%
25-10(Sep qtr)
+13%
26-01(Dec qtr)
+11%
26-04(Mar qtr)
+6%
26-07(Jun qtr)
Holding steady · Growth is holding around +6%.
What to watch next report

When results drop, skip the EPS number. Check if the growth above holds or accelerates, and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 12 of 12 times. Beating is the default here
Median beat +9%. 4 of those beats still fell the next day.
Bigger beats didn't mean bigger gains
Surprise size and price moved separately here. Expectations, not beats, drive this stock.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 7 of 11 beats (64%)
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (218 peers)
This
+1.9%
Sector
+0.6%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 4 of last 11 times (36%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth4/12

4/11 beats fell next day · watches Bookings · RevPAR · occupancy

Next-day reaction
  • Jun 2026 report+5.7%
  • Mar 2026 report+3.8%
  • Dec 2025 report+18.6%
  • Sep 2025 report-8.5%
  • Jun 2025 report-5.0%
  • Mar 2025 report+0.1%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Apr–Jun 2026 results
Reported 2026-07-28
Next-day move
+5.7%
After 5 days +6.2%
EPS consensus $3.98 → $4.21 ▲ +5.7% beatRev $4.5B → $4.8B +6% YoY
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped an FOMC holdThis report landed on a US Federal Reserve rate-decision day. Rate decisions move the whole market, so the move may reflect the decision, not just earnings. A cut is not always good or a hike always bad. Crisis cuts fell, and hikes in a strong economy often rose.Ran up +7% into earningsIn the 3 trading days before this report, the stock moved more than usual. A pre-earnings run-up can mean expectations were already priced in, a drop can mean bad news was priced in early. Read the post-earnings reaction with that in mind.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$4.21YoY -4%
'23.10'26.7
Revenue$4.8BYoY +6%
'23.10'26.7

Earnings history and price reaction

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
6/20262026-07-28+5.7%+5.7%+6.2%
3/20262026-04-30+12.6%+3.8%+13.0%
12/20252026-01-29+0.1%+18.6%+12.7%
9/20252025-10-28+1.2%-8.5%-13.3%
6/20252025-07-29+7.3%-5.0%-10.3%
3/20252025-04-29+7.0%+0.1%+5.8%

12 reports, quarters ending 9/2023 to 6/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. earnings date?

The next Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) earnings report is expected Tue, October 27 around 8:00 AM ET, before the open. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

What is the consensus EPS forecast for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s next earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of about $6.32 for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL). Coming in above that counts as a beat, below it a miss — though a beat does not guarantee the stock rises.

Does Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 8 of them (67%). The average move on earnings day was ±5.5%.

Does Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 4 of the last 11 reports (36%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 4 of the last 12 reports, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 12 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 67% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.