MC
McDonald's Corporation
MCD · McDonald's Corporation · Consumer
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.3%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.1%
avg over 7 beats
Biggest single move
-2.8%
'26.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 4 of 7 beats (57%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.1% on a beat, -0.6% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 67% of last 12
vs Consumer sector avg (2 peers)
This
-0.3%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 5Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $3.40
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
+2.1%
After 5 days +2.2%
vs Consensus$3.32→$3.38+1.8% beat
EPS
$3.38
YoY +6%
Revenue
$7.1B
YoY +4%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market +2.3%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$3.38YoY +6%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$7.1BYoY +4%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
5x42%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · MCD
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