PK
Packaging Corporation of America
PKG · Packaging Corporation of America · Materials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±0.8%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.3%
avg over 9 beats
Biggest single move
-1.4%
'26.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 3 of 9 beats (33%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.3% on a beat, +0.8% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 75% of last 12
vs Materials sector avg (34 peers)
This
0.0%
Sector
-0.1%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 9 of last 12 times (75%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
3xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 21After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $2.93
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-07
Next-day move
-0.5%
After 5 days -0.2%
vs Consensus$2.31→$2.35+1.6% beat
EPS
$2.35
YoY -5%
Revenue
$2.5B
YoY +15%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
+15% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$2.35YoY -5%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$2.5BYoY +15%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · PKG
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