MU
Murphy Oil Corporation
MUR · Murphy Oil Corporation · Energy
Up next day
5/12
42%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.2%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.5%
avg over 9 beats
Biggest single move
-8.3%
'26.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 4 of 9 beats (44%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +0.5% on a beat, -2.8% on a miss
vs Energy sector avg (49 peers)
This
-0.3%
Sector
+0.2%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 4After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.28
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-05
Next-day move
-8.3%
After 5 days -2.2%
vs Consensus$1.58→$1.55-2.2% miss
EPS
$1.55
YoY +474%
Revenue
$0.9B
YoY +36%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -8.2%p2.8x normal — unusual drop
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.55YoY +474%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.9BYoY +36%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
5x42%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
0x
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
5x42%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · MUR
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