HC
Warrior Met Coal Inc.
HCC · Warrior Met Coal Inc. · Energy
Up next day
5/12
42%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±5.9%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+3.2%
avg over 8 beats
Biggest single move
+23.1%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 4 of 8 beats (50%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +3.2% on a beat, -3.8% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 75% of last 12
vs Energy sector avg (49 peers)
This
+0.8%
Sector
+0.2%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 4After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.48
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-05
Next-day move
+6.3%
After 5 days +14.8%
vs Consensus$1.46→$1.65+13.3% beat
EPS
$1.65
YoY +1400%
Revenue
$0.5B
YoY +71%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market +6.5%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.65YoY +1400%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.5BYoY +71%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
3x25%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
5x42%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Weak earnings, price down — reacts honestly to earnings · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · HCC
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