MT
Vail Resorts Inc.
MTN · Vail Resorts Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±4.7%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+2.4%
avg over 3 beats
Biggest single move
-10.3%
'24.4 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Good results usually push the stock up
Up the next day 2 of 3 beats (67%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +2.4% on a beat, -1.2% on a miss
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
-0.3%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
1xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
5xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Sep 28After close
'26.7 expectedEst. EPS $-5.22
Quarter ended 4/2026
Reported 2026-06-08
Next-day move
-4.3%
After 5 days -2.0%
vs Consensus$8.96→$8.81-1.6% miss
EPS
$8.81
YoY -16%
Revenue
$1.2B
YoY -7%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -4.0%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$8.81YoY -16%
'23.7'26.4
Revenue$1.2BYoY -7%
'23.7'26.4
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
5x42%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · MTN
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