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Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) earnings date & stock reaction

Meritage Homes Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

Meritage Homes Corporation earnings date & time

Next earningsWed, November 4 around 4:00 PM ET, after the closescheduled

Schedule

Korea time (KST)
Thu, November 5
Reporting pattern
12 of last 12 after close
Typical move
±3.5% · 12-report avg

What the market expects

Consensus EPS

$1.19Coming in above this counts as a beat

Year-ago quarter
$1.55→-23.2%
Full earnings calendarFrom an earnings calendar

Price after the latest report

Reported July 29, 2026how the stock moved around it
Next-day move
-1.1%
After 5 days
+4.7%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped an FOMC holdThis report landed on a US Federal Reserve rate-decision day. Rate decisions move the whole market, so the move may reflect the decision, not just earnings. A cut is not always good or a hike always bad. Crisis cuts fell, and hikes in a strong economy often rose.

Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) rose the day after earnings in 7 of its last 12 reports (58%), moving ±3.5% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 4 times.

Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
0/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
+0.4%
avg over 9 beats
Price when missing
-0.9%
avg over 3 misses
Avg earnings move
±3.5%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
-7.3%
'24.1 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?

Even when EPS beat expectations, the stock fell 4 of the last 9 times. The number alone doesn't move it.

What really matters here
Whether existing demand grew, plus outlook
In finance terms: Comps/demand · guidance
What to watch next report

When results drop, check the metric above vs last quarter and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 9 of 12 times
Median beat +9.4%. 4 of those beats still fell the next day.
Reports that rose beat by +22.7% (median). Reports that fell beat by just +7.2%
Roughly +22.7% was the bar this stock had to clear.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 5 of 9 beats (56%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.4% on a beat, -0.9% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (218 peers)
This
+0.1%
Sector
+0.7%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth0/12

4/9 beats fell next day · watches Comps/demand · guidance

Next-day reaction
  • Jun 2026 report-1.1%
  • Mar 2026 report+1.7%
  • Dec 2025 report+1.1%
  • Sep 2025 report-5.6%
  • Jun 2025 report-5.0%
  • Mar 2025 report+1.0%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Apr–Jun 2026 results
Reported 2026-07-29
Next-day move
-1.1%
After 5 days +4.7%
EPS consensus $1.30 → $1.42 ▲ +9.4% beat
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped an FOMC holdThis report landed on a US Federal Reserve rate-decision day. Rate decisions move the whole market, so the move may reflect the decision, not just earnings. A cut is not always good or a hike always bad. Crisis cuts fell, and hikes in a strong economy often rose.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$1.42YoY -30%
'23.10'26.7
Revenue—
'23.10'26.7

Earnings history and price reaction

Meritage Homes Corporation across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
6/20262026-07-29+9.4%-1.1%+4.7%
3/20262026-04-22-11.9%+1.7%-2.5%
12/20252026-01-28-21.2%+1.1%+9.0%
9/20252025-10-28-9.8%-5.6%-8.1%
6/20252025-07-23+3.5%-5.0%-9.1%
3/20252025-04-23+0.9%+1.0%-0.1%

12 reports, quarters ending 9/2023 to 6/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Meritage Homes Corporation earnings date?

The next Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) earnings report is expected Wed, November 4 around 4:00 PM ET, after the close. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

What is the consensus EPS forecast for Meritage Homes Corporation's next earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of about $1.19 for Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH). Coming in above that counts as a beat, below it a miss — though a beat does not guarantee the stock rises.

Does Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 7 of them (58%). The average move on earnings day was ±3.5%.

Does Meritage Homes Corporation react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 6 of the last 12 reports (50%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Does Meritage Homes Corporation stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 12 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 58% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.