MT
Meritage Homes Corporation
MTH · Meritage Homes Corporation · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.7%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.9%
avg over 9 beats
Biggest single move
+7.0%
'23.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 5 of 9 beats (56%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.9% on a beat, -1.5% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
+0.3%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 4After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.19
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-29
Next-day move
-1.1%
After 5 days +4.7%
vs Consensus$1.30→$1.42+9.4% beat
EPS
$1.42
YoY -30%
Revenue
—
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -2.8%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.42YoY -30%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue—
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
5x42%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
1x8%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Weak earnings, price down — reacts honestly to earnings · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · MTH
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