MR
Moderna Inc.
MRNA · Moderna Inc. · Healthcare
Up next day
8/12
67%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±4.0%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.6%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
+8.8%
'23.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 10 beats (60%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.6% on a beat, +8.6% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Healthcare sector avg (153 peers)
This
+0.9%
Sector
+0.4%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 5Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $-1.35
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-31
Next-day move
+0.6%
After 5 days +7.9%
vs Consensus$-2.06→$-1.97+4.3% beat
EPS
$-1.97
YoY +8%
Revenue
$0.1B
YoY +2%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
+19% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$-1.97YoY +8%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.1BYoY +2%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
2x17%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · MRNA
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