LL
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY · Eli Lilly and Company · Healthcare
Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.9%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.4%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
-7.8%
'25.12 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 10 beats (60%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.4% on a beat, +0.9% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Healthcare sector avg (153 peers)
This
+0.4%
Sector
+0.4%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 29Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $9.87
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-05
Next-day move
+1.9%
After 5 days +4.3%
vs Consensus$6.58→$8.38+27.3% beat
EPS
$8.38
YoY +33%
Revenue
$23.0B
YoY +48%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market +2.0%p+19% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$8.38YoY +33%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$23.0BYoY +48%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
0x
Met expectations
good · up ↑
7x58%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
4x33%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 7 of 12q (58%)
Community · LLY
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