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Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) earnings date & stock reaction

Eli Lilly and Company · Healthcare

Eli Lilly and Company earnings date & time

Next earningsThu, October 29 around 8:00 AM ET, before the openscheduled

Schedule

Korea time (KST)
Thu, October 29
Reporting pattern
12 of last 12 before open
Typical move
±7.0% · 12-report avg

What the market expects

Consensus EPS

$9.87Coming in above this counts as a beat

Year-ago quarter
$7.02→+40.6%
Guided EPS
$36.00
Full earnings calendarFrom an earnings calendar
Latest reportApr–Jun 2026 results· August 5, 2026 reported
EPS consensus $6.58 → $8.38 ▲ +27.3% beatRev $15.6B → $23.0B +48% YoY
Post-earnings price move
Next-day move
+4.9%
After 5 days
+8.9%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Sector peer Novo Nordisk (8/4): beat, yet stock -6.0%A same-industry peer, Novo Nordisk, reported within the 10 days before this one (1d earlier). How the market took it (next-day move -6.0%) is the best read on the sector mood. A beat that still fell means the bar was high, so this stock may face similar pressure.
Earnings callStrong revenue growth driven by obesity drugs and upward revision of annual guidance
“Lilly's momentum continues, as we delivered 48% revenue growth and raised our full-year guidance.”
· David A. Ricks (CEO)
“We have increased the low-end of our revenue range by $3 billion and the high-end by $2 billion, reflecting a strong underlying performance of our key products.”
· Lucas Montarce (CFO)
Positives
  • ▲Rapid Revenue Growth in Obesity Drugs
    • Q2 total revenue reached $23.0 billion, a 48% increase compared to the same quarter last year.
    • Key products Mounjaro and Zepbound were the primary drivers of this revenue growth.
  • ▲Improved Profitability and Guidance Hike
    • Gross margin was 86.3%, an improvement of 1.3 percentage points versus last year.
    • Based on strong performance, the company raised the midpoint of its full-year revenue guidance by $2 billion.
  • ▲Pipeline and Business Expansion
    • Positive Phase 3 data for retatrutide supports global registration plans.
    • Acquisitions of companies like Orna and Ajax have strengthened the infectious disease and drug portfolio.
Concerns
  • ▼Pressure on Net Income from One-time Charges
    • Acquired IPR&D charges surged to $2.8 billion compared to $154 million in the same quarter last year.
    • This led to an increase in the effective tax rate to 23.3% from 16.5% a year ago.
  • ▼Continued Decline in Realized Prices
    • Realized prices in the U.S. declined by 3%, or 9% when excluding specific adjustments.
    • Realized prices outside the U.S. fell by 36%, partially offsetting the volume-driven growth.
Based on the Aug 5, 2026 earnings-call transcript. Quotes are verbatim.

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) rose the day after earnings in 8 of its last 12 reports (67%), moving ±7.0% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 2 times.

Up next day
8/12
67%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
+3.8%
avg over 10 beats
Price when missing
-9.0%
avg over 2 misses
Avg earnings move
±7.0%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
-14.1%
'25.8 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?
What really matters here
Obesity/diabetes drug (Zepbound·Mounjaro) sales and guidance
In finance terms: Obesity drug sales · guidance
Growth · revenue (YoY by quarter, latest right)
+45%
25-05(Mar qtr)
+38%
25-08(Jun qtr)
+54%
25-10(Sep qtr)
+43%
26-02(Dec qtr)
+56%
26-04(Mar qtr)
+48%
26-08(Jun qtr)
Holding steady · Growth is holding around +48%.
What to watch next report

When results drop, skip the EPS number. Check if the growth above holds or accelerates, and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 9 of 11 times
Median beat +12.9%. 2 of those beats still fell the next day.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Good results usually push the stock up
Up the next day 8 of 10 beats (80%)
Moves in line with results, fairly predictable
Avg +3.8% on a beat, -9.0% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Healthcare sector avg (155 peers)
This
+1.7%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 2 of last 12 times (17%)
2xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth3/12

2/10 beats fell next day · watches Obesity drug sales · guidance

Next-day reaction
  • Jun 2026 report+4.9%
  • Mar 2026 report+9.8%
  • Dec 2025 report+10.3%
  • Sep 2025 report+3.8%
  • Jun 2025 report-14.1%
  • Mar 2025 report-11.7%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Apr–Jun 2026 results
Reported 2026-08-05
Next-day move
+4.9%
After 5 days +8.9%
EPS consensus $6.58 → $8.38 ▲ +27.3% beatRev $15.6B → $23.0B +48% YoY
Price around earnings
Around this report
Sector peer Novo Nordisk (8/4): beat, yet stock -6.0%A same-industry peer, Novo Nordisk, reported within the 10 days before this one (1d earlier). How the market took it (next-day move -6.0%) is the best read on the sector mood. A beat that still fell means the bar was high, so this stock may face similar pressure.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$8.38YoY +33%
'23.11'26.8
Revenue$23.0BYoY +48%
'23.11'26.8

Earnings history and price reaction

Eli Lilly and Company across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
6/20262026-08-05+27.3%+4.9%+8.9%
3/20262026-04-30+25.9%+9.8%+16.0%
12/20252026-02-04+9.1%+10.3%+2.1%
9/20252025-10-30+19.1%+3.8%+13.8%
6/20252025-08-07+12.9%-14.1%-11.5%
3/20252025-05-01-3.4%-11.7%-13.6%

12 reports, quarters ending 9/2023 to 6/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Eli Lilly and Company earnings date?

The next Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) earnings report is expected Thu, October 29 around 8:00 AM ET, before the open. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

What is the consensus EPS forecast for Eli Lilly and Company's next earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of about $9.87 for Eli Lilly and Company (LLY). Coming in above that counts as a beat, below it a miss — though a beat does not guarantee the stock rises.

Does Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 8 of them (67%). The average move on earnings day was ±7.0%.

Does Eli Lilly and Company react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 2 of the last 12 reports (17%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Eli Lilly and Company stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 3 of the last 12 reports, Eli Lilly and Company fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Eli Lilly and Company stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 12 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 67% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.