MA
Mattel Inc.
MAT · Mattel Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
0/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±3.9%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.4%
avg over 8 beats
Biggest single move
-16.4%
'25.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 5 of 8 beats (63%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.4% on a beat, -0.7% on a miss
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
0.0%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 27After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.02
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
-2.7%
After 5 days +1.1%
vs Consensus$0.04→$0.01-77.3% miss
EPS
$0.01
YoY -95%
Revenue
$1.1B
YoY +10%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -2.5%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.01YoY -95%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$1.1BYoY +10%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · MAT
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