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Up or down this time?Jan 13 estimated
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Home BancShares Inc. (HOMB) earnings date & stock reaction

Home BancShares Inc. · Financials

ReportedOct 14EPS $0.65(est $0.64)+1.9% beat· Rev $0.3B
“Our team delivered a very solid and safe third quarter.”
· John Allison, Chairman
Positives
  • ▲Record Net Income Achieved
    • Q3 net income was $129.5 million, up from $119.3 million in the previous quarter.
    • Diluted EPS reached a company record of $0.65 per share.
  • ▲Enhanced Shareholder Returns
    • Quarterly dividend was raised to $0.23 per share, a 9.5% increase vs last quarter.
    • This represents a 15.0% increase compared to the $0.20 dividend paid in the same period last year.
  • ▲Improved Efficiency Ratio
    • The efficiency ratio improved to 40.78% from 44.54% in the previous quarter.
    • This improvement was primarily driven by the absence of acquisition-related expenses from Q2.
Concerns
  • ▼Decline in Revenue and Loans
    • Total revenue was $288.4 million, down 2.3% vs last quarter's $295.1 million.
    • Total loans receivable decreased to $16.91 billion from $17.13 billion in the previous quarter.
  • ▼Rise in Non-Performing Assets
    • Non-performing assets rose to $245.3 million from $228.6 million in the previous quarter.
    • The ratio of non-performing assets to total assets increased to 1.02% from 0.93% last quarter.
  • ▼Decrease in Non-Interest Income
    • Non-interest income fell to $46.4 million, down 13.3% vs last quarter's $53.5 million.
    • The decline reflects the normal variability in fee-based revenue categories.
Based on the Oct 14, 2026 earnings release. Quotes are verbatim.
Next earningsWed, January 13 (estimated)

Price after the latest report

Reported October 14, 2026how the stock moved around it
Next-day move
-0.3%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped CPI releaseA major data release (CPI, jobs) came out around this report. On those days the whole market moves, so the reaction may be mixed with the data.

Home BancShares Inc. (HOMB) rose the day after earnings in 8 of its last 12 reports (67%), moving ±1.5% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 3 times.

Up next day
8/12
67%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
+0.2%
avg over 7 beats
Price when missing
+1.6%
avg over 2 misses
Avg earnings move
±1.5%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
+3.5%
'24.4 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?
What really matters here
Interest margin, plus buybacks/dividends
In finance terms: Interest margin · provisions · capital return
What to watch next report

When results drop, check the metric above vs last quarter and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 9 of 11 times
Median beat +2.2%. 3 of those beats still fell the next day.
Reports that rose beat by +5.1% (median). Reports that fell beat by just +2.2%
Roughly +5.1% was the bar this stock had to clear.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 4 of 7 beats (57%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.2% on a beat, +1.6% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 82% of last 11
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
+0.7%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 9 times (56%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth4/12

3/7 beats fell next day · watches Interest margin · provisions · capital return

Next-day reaction
  • Sep 2026 report-0.3%
  • Jun 2026 report+1.0%
  • Mar 2026 report-1.0%
  • Dec 2025 report+2.0%
  • Sep 2025 report-3.1%
  • Jun 2025 report+0.1%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Jul–Sep 2026 results
Reported 2026-10-14
Next-day move
-0.3%
After 5 days —
EPS consensus $0.64 → $0.65 ▲ +1.9% beatRev $288M
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped CPI releaseA major data release (CPI, jobs) came out around this report. On those days the whole market moves, so the reaction may be mixed with the data.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$0.65YoY +7%
'24.1'26.10
Revenue$0.3B
'24.1'26.10

Earnings history and price reaction

Home BancShares Inc. across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
9/20262026-10-14+1.9%-0.3%—
6/20262026-07-15+5.1%+1.0%+4.9%
3/20262026-04-15—-1.0%-3.9%
12/20252026-01-14+0.2%+2.0%+4.9%
9/20252025-10-15+2.2%-3.1%-4.1%
6/20252025-07-16+2.2%+0.1%+4.3%

12 reports, quarters ending 12/2023 to 9/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Home BancShares Inc. earnings date?

The next Home BancShares Inc. (HOMB) earnings report is expected Wed, January 13 (estimated). This is an estimate based on past reporting dates, not a confirmed date.

Does Home BancShares Inc. (HOMB) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 8 of them (67%). The average move on earnings day was ±1.5%.

Does Home BancShares Inc. react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 5 of the last 9 reports (56%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Home BancShares Inc. stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 4 of the last 12 reports, Home BancShares Inc. fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Home BancShares Inc. stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 11 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 82% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.