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The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc. Class A
BWIN · The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc. Class A · Financials
Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±8.8%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+1.2%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
+25.6%
'25.12 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 10 beats (60%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +1.2% on a beat, -0.9% on a miss
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
+0.8%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 3After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.43
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-30
Next-day move
+3.9%
After 5 days +7.2%
vs Consensus$0.47→$0.48+2.1% beat
EPS
$0.48
YoY +14%
Revenue
$0.5B
YoY +30%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +3.2%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.48YoY +14%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.5BYoY +30%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
4x33%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · BWIN
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