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Up or down this time?Jan 13 scheduled
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Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) earnings date & stock reaction

Delta Air Lines Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

ReportedOct 9EPS $1.72(est $1.8)-4.4% miss· Rev $20.2B
“For the full year, we expect to generate a pre-tax profit of roughly $4.5 billion, absorbing a $6 billion increase in fuel costs.”
· Ed Bastian, CEO
“In the December quarter, we expect earnings of $1.15 to $1.65 per share, based on a fuel price of approximately $4.25 per gallon.”
· Erik Snell, CFO
Positives
  • ▲Strong Growth in Premium and Loyalty
    • Premium revenue grew 18% vs last year, and loyalty revenue also increased by 18%.
    • American Express remuneration grew 15%, with full-year expectations exceeding $9 billion.
  • ▲Robust International and Cargo Demand
    • International unit revenue increased 12% vs last year, led by a 22% growth in Latin American routes.
    • Cargo revenue rose 29% vs last year, driven by gains in both volume and yield.
  • ▲Strong Cash Flow and Financial Health
    • Generated $1.9 billion in free cash flow year-to-date, with a full-year target of $2.5 billion.
    • Plans to pay down over $2 billion in debt this year, continuously strengthening the balance sheet.
Concerns
  • ▼Profitability Pressure from Rising Fuel Costs
    • Fuel costs for the September quarter were over $500 million higher than guidance, limiting operating income growth.
    • Total fuel costs for the year are expected to increase by $6 billion vs last year.
  • ▼Steep Rise in Non-Fuel Unit Costs
    • Non-fuel unit costs (CASM-Ex) increased 7.3% vs last year, highlighting rising cost pressures.
    • Operational disruptions and higher labor costs have slowed the pace of cost efficiency compared to initial plans.
  • ▼Stagnant Operating Margins
    • Adjusted operating margin was 9.4% in the September quarter, with margin expansion limited by rising costs despite strong revenue growth.
    • The Q4 operating margin outlook of 7-9% is lower than the Q3 performance.
Based on the Oct 9, 2026 earnings-call transcript. Quotes are verbatim.
Next earningsWed, January 13 around 8:00 AM ET, before the openscheduled

Price after the latest report

Reported October 9, 2026how the stock moved around it
Next-day move
+0.0%
Price around earnings

Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) rose the day after earnings in 6 of its last 12 reports (50%), moving ±6.1% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 3 times.

Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
+1.6%
avg over 5 beats
Price when missing
-1.8%
avg over 3 misses
Avg earnings move
±6.1%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
+23.4%
'25.4 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?

Even when EPS beat expectations, the stock fell 4 of the last 6 times. The number alone doesn't move it.

What really matters here
Revenue/cost per seat and next-quarter guidance
In finance terms: Unit revenue · guidance
Growth · revenue (YoY by quarter, latest right)
+0%
25-07(Jun qtr)
+6%
25-10(Sep qtr)
+3%
26-01(Dec qtr)
+13%
26-04(Mar qtr)
+19%
26-07(Jun qtr)
+21%
26-10(Sep qtr)
Accelerating · Growth is accelerating (+0%→+21%), but this stock often falls even on strong results (4 recent times). Expectations are already high, so accelerating isn't enough. It must beat a lofty bar.
What to watch next report

When results drop, skip the EPS number. Check if the growth above holds or accelerates, and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 6 of 9 times
Median beat +6.2%. 4 of those beats still fell the next day.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 2 of 5 beats (40%)
Moves in line with results, fairly predictable
Avg +1.6% on a beat, -1.8% on a miss
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (218 peers)
This
+2.6%
Sector
+0.6%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 4 of last 8 times (50%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth1/12

3/5 beats fell next day · watches Unit revenue · guidance

Next-day reaction
  • Sep 2026 report+0.0%
  • Jun 2026 report-1.8%
  • Mar 2026 report+3.8%
  • Dec 2025 report-2.4%
  • Sep 2025 report+4.3%
  • Jun 2025 report+12.0%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Jul–Sep 2026 results
Reported 2026-10-09
Next-day move
+0.0%
After 5 days —
EPS consensus $1.80 → $1.72 ▼ -4.4% missRev $16.7B → $20.2B +21% YoY
Next-Q guidance+0%· ~$20.2B est.
Price around earnings

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$1.72
'24.1'26.10
Revenue$20.2BYoY +21%
'24.1'26.10

Earnings history and price reaction

Delta Air Lines Inc. across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
9/20262026-10-09-4.4%+0.0%—
6/20262026-07-10+4.5%-1.8%-2.6%
3/20262026-04-08—+3.8%+9.3%
12/20252026-01-13+0.3%-2.4%-5.0%
9/20252025-10-09—+4.3%+8.0%
6/20252025-07-10+1.9%+12.0%+9.6%

12 reports, quarters ending 12/2023 to 9/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Delta Air Lines Inc. earnings date?

The next Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) earnings report is expected Wed, January 13 around 8:00 AM ET, before the open. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

What is the consensus EPS forecast for Delta Air Lines Inc.'s next earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of about $1.44 for Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL). Coming in above that counts as a beat, below it a miss — though a beat does not guarantee the stock rises.

Does Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 6 of them (50%). The average move on earnings day was ±6.1%.

Does Delta Air Lines Inc. react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 4 of the last 8 reports (50%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Delta Air Lines Inc. stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 1 of the last 12 reports, Delta Air Lines Inc. fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Delta Air Lines Inc. stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 11 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 45% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.