CA
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT · Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.1%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.1%
avg over 9 beats
Biggest single move
+2.6%
'23.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 3 of 9 beats (33%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.1% on a beat, -0.3% on a miss
vs Industrials sector avg (197 peers)
This
-0.1%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 7 of last 12 times (58%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 29Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $6.92
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
-0.6%
After 5 days -3.8%
vs Consensus$6.20→$8.17+31.8% beat
EPS
$8.17
YoY +73%
Revenue
$20.5B
YoY +24%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$8.17YoY +73%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$20.5BYoY +24%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
5x42%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · CAT
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