AD
Automatic Data Processing Inc.
ADP · Automatic Data Processing Inc. · Industrials
Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
8/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.1%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.8%
avg over 12 beats
Biggest single move
-3.5%
'26.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 4 of 12 beats (33%)
vs Industrials sector avg (197 peers)
This
-0.8%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 8 of last 12 times (67%)
8xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 28Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $2.77
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-29
Next-day move
-3.5%
After 5 days -1.2%
vs Consensus$2.60→$2.64+1.6% beat
Beat by +1.6% but stock -3.5%
EPS
$2.64
YoY +17%
Revenue
$5.5B
YoY +7%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -5.2%p+38% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$2.64YoY +17%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$5.5BYoY +7%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
0x
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
0x
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
8x67%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 8 of 12q (67%)
Community · ADP
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