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Up or down this time?Jan 14 scheduled
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Citigroup Inc. (C) earnings date & stock reaction

Citigroup Inc. · Financials

ReportedOct 13EPS $2.83(est $2.62)+7.9% beat· Rev $23.8B
“With revenues up 8% year-over-year, we delivered our best third quarter revenue in a decade, and we saw revenue growth in four out of our five businesses.”
· Jane Fraser, CEO
“We expect to deliver an ROTCE above 11% for the full year, supported by NII ex-Markets growth in the mid to high 6% range.”
· Gonzalo Luchetti, CFO
Positives
  • ▲Broad-based revenue growth
    • Services revenue increased 15% vs last year, showing strong momentum.
    • Markets and Banking segments both delivered 6% revenue growth vs last year.
  • ▲Meaningful improvement in profitability
    • Firm-wide ROTCE improved by 180 bps vs last year, reaching 11.5% in the third quarter.
    • Wealth segment ROTCE exceeded 14%, showing significant improvement vs last year.
  • ▲Capital return and financial strength
    • Returned over $4 billion to shareholders this quarter, including $3 billion in share buybacks.
    • CET1 ratio stood at 12.8%, remaining 120 bps above the current regulatory minimum.
Concerns
  • ▼Stagnant growth in U.S. Consumer Cards
    • U.S. Consumer Cards revenue was flat vs last year due to higher partner payments.
    • Non-interest revenue (NIR) for the segment declined 62% vs last year, pressuring profitability.
  • ▼Potential deceleration in Q4
    • Markets revenue is expected to decline by 20% or more sequentially in Q4 due to seasonality.
    • Full-year ROTCE guidance of above 11% implies a slight deceleration from the 11.5% achieved in Q3.
  • ▼Rising expenses and credit costs
    • Excluding notable items, total expenses rose 3% vs last year, highlighting ongoing cost management challenges.
    • Cost of credit reached $2.6 billion, including a $369 million firm-wide net reserve build.
Based on the Oct 13, 2026 earnings-call transcript. Quotes are verbatim.
Next earningsThu, January 14 around 8:00 AM ET, before the openscheduled

Price after the latest report

Reported October 13, 2026how the stock moved around it
Next-day move
-5.0%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped CPI releaseA major data release (CPI, jobs) came out around this report. On those days the whole market moves, so the reaction may be mixed with the data.

Citigroup Inc. (C) rose the day after earnings in 6 of its last 12 reports (50%), moving ±3.5% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 5 times.

Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
0.0%
avg over 11 beats
Price when missing
-3.3%
avg over 1 misses
Avg earnings move
±3.5%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
+6.5%
'25.1 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?

Even when EPS beat expectations, the stock fell 5 of the last 11 times. The number alone doesn't move it.

What really matters here
The gap between loan and deposit rates, plus buybacks/dividends
In finance terms: Net interest margin · provisions · capital return
What to watch next report

When results drop, check the metric above vs last quarter and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 11 of 12 times. Beating is the default here
Median beat +15.8%. 5 of those beats still fell the next day.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 11 beats (55%)
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 64% of last 11
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
-0.2%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth3/12

5/11 beats fell next day · watches Net interest margin · provisions · capital return

Next-day reaction
  • Sep 2026 report-5.0%
  • Jun 2026 report-5.3%
  • Mar 2026 report+2.6%
  • Dec 2025 report-3.3%
  • Sep 2025 report+3.9%
  • Jun 2025 report+3.7%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Jul–Sep 2026 results
Reported 2026-10-13
Next-day move
-5.0%
After 5 days —
EPS consensus $2.62 → $2.83 ▲ +7.9% beatRev $22.1B → $23.8B +8% YoY
Beat by +7.9% but stock -5.0%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped CPI releaseA major data release (CPI, jobs) came out around this report. On those days the whole market moves, so the reaction may be mixed with the data.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$2.83YoY +25%
'24.1'26.10
Revenue$23.8BYoY +8%
'24.1'26.10

Earnings history and price reaction

Citigroup Inc. across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
9/20262026-10-13+7.9%-5.0%—
6/20262026-07-14+15.6%-5.3%-8.5%
3/20262026-04-14+17.9%+2.6%+5.4%
12/20252026-01-14-23.4%-3.3%-2.1%
9/20252025-10-14+17.4%+3.9%+3.3%
6/20252025-07-15+28.3%+3.7%+5.9%

12 reports, quarters ending 12/2023 to 9/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Citigroup Inc. earnings date?

The next Citigroup Inc. (C) earnings report is expected Thu, January 14 around 8:00 AM ET, before the open. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

Does Citigroup Inc. (C) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 6 of them (50%). The average move on earnings day was ±3.5%.

Does Citigroup Inc. react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 5 of the last 12 reports (42%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Citigroup Inc. stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 3 of the last 12 reports, Citigroup Inc. fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Citigroup Inc. stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 11 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 64% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.