AX
American Express Company
AXP · American Express Company · Financials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
5/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.6%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.3%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
-3.5%
'25.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 5 of 10 beats (50%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.3% on a beat, 0.0% on a miss
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
-0.3%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 23Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $4.59
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-24
Next-day move
+2.8%
After 5 days +3.1%
vs Consensus$4.40→$4.53+2.9% beat
EPS
$4.53
YoY +11%
Revenue
$11.2B
YoY +9%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market +2.8%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$4.53YoY +11%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$11.2BYoY +9%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
0x
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
5x42%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · AXP
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