AF
American Financial Group Inc.
AFG · American Financial Group Inc. · Financials
Up next day
9/12
75%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.1%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+1.3%
avg over 8 beats
Biggest single move
+4.6%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Good results usually push the stock up
Up the next day 6 of 8 beats (75%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +1.3% on a beat, +0.1% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 55% of last 11
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
+0.9%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 4 of last 12 times (33%)
1xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
3xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 3After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $3.55
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-05
Next-day move
0.0%
After 5 days -1.3%
vs Consensus$2.37→$2.82+18.9% beat
EPS
$2.82
YoY +32%
Revenue
$2.0B
YoY +6%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$2.82YoY +32%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$2.0BYoY +6%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
5x42%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · AFG
What do you think of this stock's earnings pattern?
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