CB
Commerce Bancshares Inc.
CBSH · Commerce Bancshares Inc. · Financials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±0.8%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.3%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
-2.8%
'24.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 4 of 10 beats (40%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.3% on a beat, +0.6% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 67% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
-0.2%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 8 of last 12 times (67%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 15Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.09
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-05
Next-day move
-0.9%
After 5 days +0.1%
vs Consensus$1.05→$1.10+5.3% beat
EPS
$1.10
YoY +1%
Revenue
$0.0B
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
+15% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.10YoY +1%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.0B
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
4x33%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
5x42%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · CBSH
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