AA
American Airlines Group Inc.
AAL · American Airlines Group Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
8/12
67%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±3.0%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+2.1%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
+7.9%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Tends to slide in the week before earnings
Fell beforehand 10 of last 12 · avg -3.5%
Good results usually push the stock up
Up the next day 8 of 10 beats (80%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +2.1% on a beat, -3.5% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
+1.2%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock mostly moves with the reported earnings number
Moved opposite to results 2 of last 12 times (17%)
2xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 22Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $-0.23
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-23
Next-day move
+6.8%
After 5 days +13.8%
vs Consensus$0.05→$0.15+227.6% beat
EPS
$0.15
YoY -84%
Revenue
$16.7B
YoY +16%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +6.7%p2.1x normal — unusual surge+18% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.15YoY -84%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$16.7BYoY +16%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
7x58%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
1x8%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 7 of 12q (58%)
Community · AAL
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