WS

Watsco Inc.

WSO · Watsco Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.9%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-2.1%
avg over 3 beats
Biggest single move
-3.6%
'24.12 · largest reaction

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 0 of 3 beats (0%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -2.1% on a beat, +0.4% on a miss
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
-0.3%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 9 of last 12 times (75%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
6xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures

Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter

Oct 28Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $4.13
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-29
Next-day move
-2.9%
After 5 days +4.1%
vs Consensus$4.39$4.00-8.8% miss
EPS
$4.00
YoY -12%
Revenue
$2.1B
YoY +2%
Next-Q guidance
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -4.6%p-26% dip before

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$4.00YoY -12%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$2.1BYoY +2%
'23.9'26.6

Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters

UpDown
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← Weak earningsStrong earnings →

Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 4 of 12q (33%)

Community · WSO

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