VS
Vistra Corp.
VST · Vistra Corp. · Utilities
Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.4%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.1%
avg over 3 beats
Biggest single move
+4.5%
'24.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 1 of 3 beats (33%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.1% on a beat, +1.4% on a miss
vs Utilities sector avg (57 peers)
This
+1.0%
Sector
+0.2%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 8 of last 12 times (67%)
2xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
6xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 5Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $2.49
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-07
Next-day move
+1.6%
After 5 days +5.4%
vs Consensus$1.63→$0.76-53.4% miss
Missed by -53.4% but stock +1.6%
EPS
$0.76
YoY -6%
Revenue
$4.4B
YoY +17%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +1.6%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.76YoY -6%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$4.4BYoY +17%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
3x25%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
1x8%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · VST
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