VA
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
VAC · Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation · Financials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±9.3%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+1.5%
avg over 9 beats
Biggest single move
-26.4%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Tends to slide in the week before earnings
Fell beforehand 11 of last 12 · avg -2.7%
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 5 of 9 beats (56%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +1.5% on a beat, -3.0% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 75% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
+0.3%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 4Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $2.48
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-06
Next-day move
-1.0%
After 5 days -2.8%
vs Consensus$2.00→$2.31+15.4% beat
EPS
$2.31
YoY +18%
Revenue
$1.2B
YoY +6%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -1.6%p+61% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$2.31YoY +18%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$1.2BYoY +6%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
5x42%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · VAC
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