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United Parcel Service Inc.
UPS · United Parcel Service Inc. · Industrials
Up next day
5/12
42%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.5%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.3%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
-4.0%
'25.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 4 of 10 beats (40%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.3% on a beat, -0.8% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 75% of last 12
vs Industrials sector avg (197 peers)
This
-0.4%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 7 of last 12 times (58%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 27Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.63
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-28
Next-day move
-0.9%
After 5 days +3.4%
vs Consensus$1.66→$1.76+5.8% beat
EPS
$1.76
YoY +14%
Revenue
$22.8B
YoY +8%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.76YoY +14%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$22.8BYoY +8%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · UPS
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