TS
Tesla Inc.
TSLA · Tesla Inc. · EV
Up next day
5/12
42%
Fell despite growth
1/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±9.0%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+5.0%
avg over 3 beats
Biggest single move
+21.9%
'24.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 1 of 3 beats (33%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +5.0% on a beat, -3.8% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
2xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
4xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 21After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.45
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-22
Next-day move
-14.5%
After 5 days -20.2%
vs Consensus$0.54→$0.33-38.4% miss
EPS
$0.33
YoY -18%
Revenue
$28.2B
YoY +26%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -13.3%p4.8x normal — unusual drop
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.33YoY -18%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$28.2BYoY +26%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
3x25%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
6x50%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
1x8%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Weak earnings, price down — reacts honestly to earnings · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · TSLA
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