TK
Timken Company (The)
TKR · Timken Company (The) · Industrials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.6%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.5%
avg over 9 beats
Biggest single move
+9.1%
'24.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 3 of 9 beats (33%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.5% on a beat, +4.1% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Industrials sector avg (197 peers)
This
+0.6%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 9 of last 12 times (75%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
3xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 28Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.49
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
-0.5%
After 5 days -2.6%
vs Consensus$1.62→$1.83+12.9% beat
EPS
$1.83
YoY +29%
Revenue
$1.3B
YoY +7%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
+24% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.83YoY +29%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$1.3BYoY +7%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · TKR
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