RI
Rithm Capital Corp.
RITM · Rithm Capital Corp. · Real Estate
Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.3%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.5%
avg over 12 beats
Biggest single move
+4.1%
'25.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 7 of 12 beats (58%)
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Real Estate sector avg (70 peers)
This
+0.5%
Sector
+0.1%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 29Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.50
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-28
Next-day move
+2.1%
After 5 days +4.8%
vs Consensus$0.50→$0.60+20.7% beat
EPS
$0.60
YoY +13%
Revenue
$1.3B
YoY +5%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +3.7%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$0.60YoY +13%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$1.3BYoY +5%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
5x42%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
2x17%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · RITM
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