PH
PulteGroup Inc.
PHM · PulteGroup Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
1/12
8%
Fell despite growth
5/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.6%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-1.5%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
-4.0%
'24.12 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 1 of 10 beats (10%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -1.5% on a beat, -2.0% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
-1.6%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 9 of last 12 times (75%)
9xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 20Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $2.65
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-22
Next-day move
-1.6%
After 5 days +4.4%
vs Consensus$2.36→$2.48+5.3% beat
Beat by +5.3% but stock -1.6%
EPS
$2.48
YoY -18%
Revenue
$4.0B
YoY -10%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$2.48YoY -18%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$4.0BYoY -10%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
0x
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
6x50%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
5x42%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Weak earnings, price down — reacts honestly to earnings · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · PHM
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