MP
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
MPC · Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Energy
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.4%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.7%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
-5.7%
'26.3 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 5 of 10 beats (50%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.7% on a beat, -0.1% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 67% of last 12
vs Energy sector avg (49 peers)
This
-0.6%
Sector
+0.2%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 3Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $19.49
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
-4.8%
After 5 days +7.6%
vs Consensus$13.95→$17.73+27.1% beat
Beat by +27.1% but stock -4.8%
EPS
$17.73
YoY +348%
Revenue
$52.0B
YoY +54%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -4.5%p2.2x normal — unusual drop+24% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$17.73YoY +348%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$52.0BYoY +54%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
2x17%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 4 of 12q (33%)
Community · MPC
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