EA

Brinker International Inc.

EAT · Brinker International Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
5/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±3.2%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+0.6%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
+7.6%
'23.12 · largest reaction

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 10 beats (60%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +0.6% on a beat, +1.9% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
+0.8%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures

Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter

Oct 28Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $2.39
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-12
Next-day move
-3.0%
After 5 days -5.1%
vs Consensus$3.09$3.07-0.5% miss
EPS
$3.07
YoY +23%
Revenue
$1.5B
YoY +5%
Next-Q guidance
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -3.7%p+82% run-up before

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$3.07YoY +23%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$1.5BYoY +5%
'23.9'26.6

Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters

UpDown
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
0x
Met expectations
good · up ↑
7x58%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
0x
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
5x42%
← Weak earningsStrong earnings →

Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 7 of 12q (58%)

Community · EAT

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