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Up or down this time?Feb 22 scheduled
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Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) earnings date & stock reaction

Domino's Pizza Inc · Consumer Discretionary

ReportedOct 13EPS $4.6(est $4.39)+4.8% beat· Rev $1.2B
“We now expect 125-150 net new stores in the U.S., reflecting increased pressure on our development pipeline from the macroeconomic environment and year-to-date pressure on franchisee profitability.”
· Sandeep Reddy, CFO
“In Q3, we believe that manifested mostly in items per order. We had pressure on items per order, so customers were still coming to us, but managing their ticket by managing items per order.”
· Joe Jordan, CEO
Positives
  • ▲Growth in Operating Income and EPS
    • Operating income rose 8.3% to $241.8 million compared to the same period last year.
    • Diluted EPS increased 12.7% to $4.60 from $4.08 in the prior year.
  • ▲Supply Chain Margin Expansion
    • Supply chain gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 12.2% due to procurement productivity.
  • ▲Global Net Store Growth
    • The company achieved a net increase of 175 stores globally during the third quarter.
Concerns
  • ▼Deceleration in U.S. Same-Store Sales
    • U.S. same-store sales growth slowed to 0.3%, down significantly from 5.2% in the same quarter last year.
    • Challenging consumer conditions led to a decline in items per order, putting pressure on the average ticket.
  • ▼Lowered Store Opening Guidance
    • Due to pressure on franchisee profitability, the 2026 U.S. net store opening guidance was lowered to 125-150 units.
  • ▼Decline in Free Cash Flow
    • Year-to-date free cash flow decreased 7.2% to $459.8 million compared to $495.6 million in the same period last year.
Based on the Oct 13, 2026 earnings-call transcript. Quotes are verbatim.
Next earningsMon, February 22 around 8:00 AM ET, before the openscheduled

Price after the latest report

Reported October 13, 2026how the stock moved around it
Next-day move
-3.8%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped CPI releaseA major data release (CPI, jobs) came out around this report. On those days the whole market moves, so the reaction may be mixed with the data.

Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) rose the day after earnings in 6 of its last 12 reports (50%), moving ±4.3% on average. It has fallen despite beating the consensus estimate 3 times.

Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Price when beating
-0.4%
avg over 7 beats
Price when missing
-1.0%
avg over 5 misses
Avg earnings move
±4.3%
typical swing on earnings
Biggest single move
-13.6%
'24.7 · largest reaction
🔑What actually moves this stock?

Even when EPS beat expectations, the stock fell 3 of the last 7 times. The number alone doesn't move it.

What really matters here
Whether existing demand grew, plus outlook
In finance terms: Comps/demand · guidance
Growth · revenue (YoY by quarter, latest right)
+4%
25-07(Jun qtr)
+6%
25-10(Sep qtr)
+6%
26-02(Dec qtr)
+3%
26-04(Mar qtr)
+4%
26-07(Jun qtr)
+3%
26-10(Sep qtr)
Holding steady · Growth is holding around +3%.
What to watch next report

When results drop, skip the EPS number. Check if the growth above holds or accelerates, and whether guidance beats expectations.

The real bar for this stock

Beating estimates isn't enough. Here's where the real surprise started.

Beat consensus 7 of 12 times
Median beat +5.4%. 3 of those beats still fell the next day.
Bigger beats didn't mean bigger gains
Surprise size and price moved separately here. Expectations, not beats, drive this stock.

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 4 of 7 beats (57%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.4% on a beat, -1.0% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 82% of last 11
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (218 peers)
This
-0.6%
Sector
+0.7%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance: which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
3xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Fell despite growth4/12

3/7 beats fell next day · watches Comps/demand · guidance

Next-day reaction
  • Sep 2026 report-3.8%
  • Jun 2026 report+2.1%
  • Mar 2026 report-8.8%
  • Dec 2025 report+4.1%
  • Sep 2025 report+3.9%
  • Jun 2025 report-0.8%

Earnings timeline · bars = next-day move, ▲▼ = beat/miss

Jul–Sep 2026 results
Reported 2026-10-13
Next-day move
-3.8%
After 5 days —
EPS consensus $4.39 → $4.60 ▲ +4.8% beatRev $1.1B → $1.2B +3% YoY
Beat by +4.8% but stock -3.8%
Price around earnings
Around this report
Overlapped CPI releaseA major data release (CPI, jobs) came out around this report. On those days the whole market moves, so the reaction may be mixed with the data.

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$4.60YoY +13%
'24.2'26.10
Revenue$1.2BYoY +3%
'24.2'26.10

Earnings history and price reaction

Domino's Pizza Inc across its last 12 earnings reports: EPS versus consensus, the move on the earnings day, and the cumulative move five trading days later.
Quarter endedReported (ET)vs market expectation (consensus)Earnings dayAfter 5 days
9/20262026-10-13+4.8%-3.8%—
6/20262026-07-20-2.4%+2.1%+3.4%
3/20262026-04-27-3.3%-8.8%-8.2%
12/20252026-02-23-0.6%+4.1%+4.7%
9/20252025-10-14+3.0%+3.9%+3.6%
6/20252025-07-21-3.6%-0.8%+4.2%

12 reports, quarters ending 12/2023 to 9/2026. The earnings-day move is the first trading day that reflects the report; the five-day figure is the cumulative move from that point.

Frequently asked questions

When is the next Domino's Pizza Inc earnings date?

The next Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) earnings report is expected Mon, February 22 around 8:00 AM ET, before the open. It comes from an earnings calendar and may not be a company-confirmed date; it updates automatically if it changes.

Does Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) stock usually go up after earnings?

Over the last 12 earnings reports, the stock rose on 6 of them (50%). The average move on earnings day was ±4.3%.

Does Domino's Pizza Inc react more to the earnings numbers or to guidance?

In 5 of the last 12 reports (42%), the stock moved the opposite way from whether it beat or missed the forecast. A high share means guidance and expectations drive the move more than the reported numbers.

Can Domino's Pizza Inc stock fall even when earnings are good?

Yes. In 4 of the last 12 reports, Domino's Pizza Inc fell on the earnings day despite growing EPS. Expectations already priced in, or guidance, can matter more than the reported numbers.

Does Domino's Pizza Inc stock keep moving after the earnings day?

Over the last 11 reports, the move continued in the same direction for the following five trading days 18% of the time. This tendency is known as post-earnings announcement drift.