CO
Cogent Biosciences Inc.
COGT · Cogent Biosciences Inc. · Healthcare
Up next day
3/12
25%
Fell despite growth
4/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±3.2%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-4.3%
avg over 6 beats
Biggest single move
-8.8%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 1 of 6 beats (17%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -4.3% on a beat, -1.2% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Healthcare sector avg (153 peers)
This
-2.8%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 7 of last 12 times (58%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
2xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 3Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $-0.55
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-10
Next-day move
-6.8%
After 5 days -8.8%
vs Consensus$-0.56→$-0.52+8.0% beat
Beat by +8.0% but stock -6.8%
EPS
$-0.52
YoY +2%
Revenue
—
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -6.5%p2.4x normal — unusual drop+20% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$-0.52YoY +2%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue—
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
5x42%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
4x33%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Weak earnings, price down — reacts honestly to earnings · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · COGT
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