CO
Capital One Financial Corporation
COF · Capital One Financial Corporation · Financials
Up next day
8/12
67%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.1%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+2.1%
avg over 7 beats
Biggest single move
+9.2%
'23.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Good results usually push the stock up
Up the next day 5 of 7 beats (71%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg +2.1% on a beat, 0.0% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 67% of last 12
vs Financials sector avg (202 peers)
This
+1.2%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
2xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
3xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 20After close
'26.7 expectedEst. EPS $5.33
Quarter ended 3/2026
Reported 2026-05-07
Next-day move
-1.6%
After 5 days -3.5%
vs Consensus$4.57→$4.42-3.3% miss
EPS
$4.42
YoY +9%
Revenue
$2.4B
YoY +62%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -2.4%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$4.42YoY +9%
'23.6'26.3
Revenue$2.4BYoY +62%
'23.6'26.3
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
2x17%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
1x8%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · COF
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