CA
Avis Budget Group Inc.
CAR · Avis Budget Group Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
2/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±10.4%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-3.0%
avg over 4 beats
Biggest single move
-22.9%
'23.12 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 2 of 4 beats (50%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -3.0% on a beat, -1.2% on a miss
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 75% of last 12
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
-1.8%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
2xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
4xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 27After close
'26.7 expectedEst. EPS $8.17
Quarter ended 3/2026
Reported 2026-04-29
Next-day move
-0.3%
After 5 days -9.3%
vs Consensus$-7.50→$-8.01-6.7% miss
EPS
$-8.01
YoY +44%
Revenue
$2.5B
YoY +4%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
+57% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$-8.01YoY +44%
'23.6'26.3
Revenue$2.5BYoY +4%
'23.6'26.3
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
6x50%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
0x
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · CAR
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