AX

Axsome Therapeutics Inc.

AXSM · Axsome Therapeutics Inc. · Healthcare

Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
5/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±1.8%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-2.7%
avg over 4 beats
Biggest single move
-3.7%
'25.3 · largest reaction

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Tends to run up in the week before earnings
Rose beforehand 9 of last 12 · avg +4.3% · expectations build early
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 0 of 4 beats (0%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -2.7% on a beat, +0.3% on a miss
vs Healthcare sector avg (153 peers)
This
-0.7%
Sector
+0.4%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 8 of last 12 times (67%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
4xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures

Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter

Nov 2Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $-0.46
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-10
Next-day move
-2.3%
After 5 days -2.1%
vs Consensus$-0.78$-0.99-26.9% miss
EPS
$-0.99
YoY -2%
Revenue
$0.2B
YoY +46%
Next-Q guidance
N/A
Price around earnings
vs market -2.0%p

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$-0.99YoY -2%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.2BYoY +46%
'23.9'26.6

Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters

UpDown
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
4x33%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
0x
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
3x25%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
5x42%
← Weak earningsStrong earnings →

Even on good earnings, the price often fell — earnings poorly reflected · 5 of 12q (42%)

Community · AXSM

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